Monday, February 09, 2004

Why The Dean Bubble Popped

Contrary to the point of this article which says:
"Dean's campaign collapsed under the weight of a faulty business model: He counted on the same 'first mover' advantage as did legions of dot-com companies, figuring that big early wins would wrap up the nomination and generate millions of dollars in new contributions."

The model has proven to be correct. Only the first-mover happened to be Kerry. Dean's activism made the old-guard uneasy and they ran for the safer ground as soon as any of the other alternatives looked viable. It could have been any of the three. As noted below Kerry happened to have a fortuitous connection in Iowa and that's all she wrote.

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